market timing signals
If you want to invest successfully over the next decade, you have to implement a market timing strategy. This requires you to follow a series of market timing indicators. Bear markets have the potential to crush investor returns and can shred thousands of dollars from your retirement portfolio in the process. Market volatility and risk have grown at an exponential rate since the 1950s and since the advent of the derivatives markets and is here to stay. If you can't identify market inflection points you're in for a roller-coaster ride - it's as simple as that. Trends break, economies shift structurally, and buy and hold is a sub-optimal strategy. You need a market timing strategy if you plan to stay invested in the market and if you plan to maximize your returns.
Graham Classic Central Value Model
This is a valuation model developed by Benjamin Graham and was showcased in his classic text on value investing. It is a method of determining buying and selling points in the general market through the determination of a central value for a broad marker index.
Graham Modern Central Value Model
This updated Benjamin Graham central valuation model involves determining an equilibrium or fair-value estimate for the market by inserting a linear price line through a series of historical data and then establishing various buy/sell quadrants.
warren buffett model
This is a valuation model utlized by Warren Buffett. On multiple occassions Buffett has explained that the percentage of total market cap relative to the Gross National Product is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.
moving average model
This is designed to give a read on the total amount of short-term and long-term momentum in the stock market. It can help investors see changes in the market and take action early on the upside/downside.
shiller p/e model
The Shiller P/E is a valuation measure used to assess the extent to which a broad equity index is under or over-valued. The Shiller P/E has attracted a great deal of attention given its effectiveness in signalling broad economic recessions and is alternatively considered a "cyclically adjusted P/E ratio."
Many analysts rely on contrarian investment rules to determine their market entry and exit points. Contrarian rules are founded on the premise that the majority of investors are wrong as the market approaches peaks and troughs. Contrarians try to determine when the majority of investors are either bearish or bullish and then trade in the opposite direction.
Yield Curve Model
Monitoring differences in bond yields is known as watching the yield curve, and it can be extremely useful for identifying turning points in the economy and stock market, such as the beginning of an economic expansion or bull market, or the start of a recession or bear market.
equity risk premiums
The equity risk premium represents the additional return that investors require for holding stocks compared to long-term government bonds. The importance of the equity risk premium is that most analysts incorporate an estimate of it in their valuation models and in determining their required returns.
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"I find SEENSCO's market timing indicators to be a reliable and comprehensive way of actively investing in ETFs. It's also an inexpensive way of accessing insightful data that, one way or the other should be monitored. SEENSCO is also always improving and expanding its services...and their full research reports are simply outstanding.”
Adam, CFA, retired investment manager
download a sample of the moving average model now
Use this indicator to time long-term trends in the market. We combine moving-averages, cross-over points and our oscillation indicator into one cohesive tool to help investors better identify market entry and exit points. With as little as 10 minutes of your time each month you can better understand whether the odds are in your favor to prosper in the the stock market.
We believe everyone can succeed at investing with the right strategy!
market timing helps boost risk-adjusteD returns. this is why.
OUR NEWSLETTER MAKES IT EASY FOR YOU TO ENTER AND EXIT THE MARKETS AT THE MOST OPPORTUNE TIMES!
At a glance, our newsletter will summarize a series of key market timing indicators signaling upward and downward price trends based on established analytical tools. There is no need to scan hundreds of stock charts anymore, you can now assess long term trend direction quickly and effectively. You want to focus your portfolio investments in market tracking ETFs and stay invested as long as the trend channel stay intact.
At a glance you can see whether American and Canadian market trends are in a trend transition. You want to avoid entering the market until the emergence of a long term trend has been established and validated with a trend direction indicator.
At a glance you can instantly see whether markets are going to move into a downward trend. You want to avoid the markets at these times unless you are planning on shorting the markets.
Our newsletter highlights signals drawn from 9 key fundamentals- and momentum-based indicators and summarizes results using a balance of opinion indicator (representing the percentage of indicators signaling accumulate less the percentage of indicators signaling reduce). When the balance of opinion indicator is positive, the odds are positive that a positive trend channel is still intact.
Determine at a glance a recommended bond / equity asset allocation.